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Bitcoin price eyes 16K liquidity sweep with ETF comeback in focus
bitcoin

Bitcoin price eyes 16K liquidity sweep with ETF comeback in focus

Bitcoin targets 16K amid key liquidity walls and ETF flow signals, with support expected near 10K amid cautious optimism.

August 4, 2025
5 min read
William Suberg

Bitcoin targets 16K amid key liquidity walls and ETF flow signals, with support expected near 10K amid cautious optimism.

Bitcoin traders are keenly observing order-book liquidity as the price of Bitcoin (BTC) approaches the $116,000 level. This heightened focus is partly due to the renewed attention on spot Bitcoin ETFs, which could indicate broader market sentiment and institutional appetite. As traditional financial markets reopened after Monday's Wall Street session, Bitcoin edged closer to the $116,000 mark, with bullish traders targeting sell liquidity within the order books. Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD trading around $115,732 on Bitstamp. Analyst Rekt Capital emphasized the significance of reclaiming the $116,000 level, noting it corresponds to the top of a recently filled Daily CME Gap, a known price magnet in Bitcoin futures. "It all starts with a reclaim of ~$116k which is the top of the recently filled Daily CME Gap," Rekt Capital stated. Order book liquidity data from CoinGlass revealed a substantial wall of sell orders concentrated near $115,800, currently capping the price. Trader BigMike7335 suggested that a breakthrough above $115,850 would validate the $112,000 area as a potential bottom for Bitcoin. On the buy side, bids were observed stacked from $113,800 down to $112,000, with additional support found near previous all-time highs around $110,000. Trader Cipher X anticipated that if downside liquidity were swept first, a bounce near $110.5K would be likely. Trading firm QCP Capital expressed optimism about buying opportunities on dips, pointing out that Bitcoin's July monthly close was its highest ever and that the recent price decrease appeared to be a corrective move rather than a capitulation. QCP Capital commented, "Historically, such post-rally shakeouts, particularly those that flush out excess leverage, have laid the groundwork for renewed accumulation. Importantly, this comes at a time when macro and structural tailwinds remain supportive." CoinGlass data confirmed a reduction in open interest on Bitcoin futures to their lowest levels since July 10 over the weekend, indicating a deleveraging event. QCP Capital highlighted that Monday's net flows for US spot Bitcoin ETFs would be a crucial indicator of market appetite, especially after the $812 million outflow recorded on August 1, the second-largest daily outflow on record. The firm remains cautiously optimistic, advising vigilance around spot levels near $112k amidst persistent macro uncertainty. They added that signs of stabilization, such as renewed spot ETF inflows, decreasing implied volatility, and a narrowing of skew, would signal a recovery in institutional sentiment.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.
Source: Originally published at Cointelegraph on Mon, 04 Aug 2025 18:31:09 GMT

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Bitcoin Price and Market Factors

Q: What is driving Bitcoin's recent price action towards $116,000? A: Bitcoin's price is being influenced by several factors, including traders targeting sell liquidity in order books, the potential impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs, and the psychological magnet of the Daily CME Gap near the $116,000 level. Q: What are "liquidity walls" in the context of Bitcoin trading? A: Liquidity walls refer to significant clusters of buy or sell orders at specific price levels in an exchange's order book. These can act as support or resistance, influencing price movements. In this article, a wall of sell orders near $115,800 was pinning Bitcoin's price. Q: How do spot Bitcoin ETFs influence the market? A: Spot Bitcoin ETFs can significantly influence the market by providing institutional investors with easier access to Bitcoin. Their net flows (inflows or outflows) are closely watched as indicators of institutional demand and market sentiment. Q: What does "excess leverage flush" mean in the crypto market? A: An "excess leverage flush" occurs when traders using borrowed funds (leverage) are forced to liquidate their positions due to adverse price movements. This can accelerate price declines but also clears out excessive leverage, potentially paving the way for renewed accumulation. Q: What are CME Gaps, and why are they important for Bitcoin prices? A: CME Gaps refer to price discrepancies that occur when the futures market opens after a period of trading on spot markets. These gaps can act as price magnets, with the market often moving to fill them. The unfilled Daily CME Gap near $116,000 is seen as a key target for Bitcoin's price.

Market Analysis and Sentiment

Q: What signals indicate institutional sentiment is recovering in the Bitcoin market? A: Signs of recovery in institutional sentiment can include renewed inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, a decrease in implied volatility, and a narrowing of the skew (the difference in prices between options with different strike prices). Q: What does a low open interest in Bitcoin futures signify? A: A low open interest in Bitcoin futures, as seen recently, indicates that fewer contracts are currently outstanding. This often follows a period of deleveraging or a "flush" of excess leverage, suggesting a potentially cleaner market for future price movements. Q: What is the significance of Bitcoin's July monthly close being its highest ever? A: A record-high monthly close in July suggests strong bullish momentum and positive sentiment for Bitcoin, potentially setting a foundation for further gains.

Crypto Market AI's Take

The current Bitcoin price action, with its sights set on $116,000, highlights the interplay between technical levels, order book dynamics, and institutional flows. This scenario underscores the growing influence of regulated financial products like spot Bitcoin ETFs on market sentiment and price discovery. At AI Crypto Market, we leverage advanced AI agents and sophisticated algorithms to navigate these complex market conditions. Our AI-powered trading bots continuously analyze these on-chain and order book metrics, aiming to identify optimal entry and exit points, while our market analysis tools provide deeper insights into the underlying forces shaping Bitcoin's trajectory. Understanding these factors is crucial for developing robust trading strategies in today's dynamic crypto landscape.

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