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Fed Rate Cut Hopes Boost Crypto Sentiment
cryptocurrency

Fed Rate Cut Hopes Boost Crypto Sentiment

Lower-than-expected U.S. jobs data sparks renewed Fed rate cut hopes, boosting crypto prices and market sentiment.

August 4, 2025
5 min read
Avila Sebastian

Lower-than-expected U.S. jobs data sparks renewed Fed rate cut hopes, boosting crypto prices and market sentiment.

Fed Rate Cut Hopes Boost Crypto Sentiment

Renewed hopes for a Federal Reserve rate cut, triggered by weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data, have dragged down the dollar and boosted cryptocurrency prices. Additionally, optimism around a potential strategic Bitcoin Reserve has further supported market sentiment. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported an increase of 73,000 non-farm payroll jobs in July, falling short of the 110,000 jobs expected by markets. This followed a revised 14,000 jobs gain in June. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2% from 4.1% the previous month, in line with expectations. The disappointing jobs data weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. The softer labor market data has heightened expectations for a Fed rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a 0.25% rate cut at the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting currently stands at 87.4%, up from 80.3% on Friday and 63.1% earlier in the week.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview

The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 0.9% to $3.72 trillion. Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies, only four experienced overnight losses exceeding 10%. However, the 24-hour trading volume dropped 13% to $113 billion. Bitcoin's market dominance decreased slightly to 61.1% from 61.7% the previous day. Ethereum's share rose to 11.6% from 11.3%, while other altcoins collectively held 27.4%, up from 27%.

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin gained 0.49% overnight, trading at $114,517.27. This price remains about 7% below its all-time high of $123,091.61 set on July 14. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin traded between $113,609.97 and $114,984.20.
  • Weekly performance: -3.6%
  • Monthly performance: +5.9%
  • Year-to-date gains: Nearly 23%
  • Bitcoin ranks 7th among all global assets by market capitalization according to companiesmarketcap.com. Bitcoin-based spot ETFs in U.S. saw outflows of $812 million on Friday, compared to $115 million on Thursday. The Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) led outflows with $331 million, followed by the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) with $328 million.

    Ethereum (ETH)

    Ethereum rallied 2.7% overnight to $3,592.50 but has declined 6.7% over the past week. Year-to-date gains stand at 7.8%. Ethereum’s current price is approximately 27% below its all-time high. The 24-hour trading range was $3,456.19 to $3,591.51. Ethereum-based spot ETFs recorded outflows of $152 million on Friday, reversing inflows of $17 million on Thursday. Ethereum holds the 25th position in the global asset ranking by market capitalization.

    Other Notable Cryptocurrencies

  • XRP (3rd rank): Rose over 5% to $3.02, about 21% below its all-time high.
  • BNB (5th rank): Increased 1.1% to $759.05.
  • Solana (6th rank): Up 2.1% to $164.74.
  • TRON (8th rank): Gained 2.1% to $0.3308, the highest weekly gainer among top cryptos with a 2% weekly rise.
  • Dogecoin (9th rank): Rose 2.1% to $0.2027, trading 73% below its record high.
  • Cardano (10th rank): Increased 2.5% to $0.7429, 76% below its all-time high.
  • Among the top 100 cryptocurrencies:
  • MemeCore (84th rank): Led gains with a 21.2% increase overnight.
  • Mantle (40th rank): Followed with a 9.3% gain.
  • Toncoin (21st rank): Led losses with a 7.2% decline.
  • Story (54th rank): Declined over 3%.

  • Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

    Fed Rate Cuts and Crypto

    Q: How do Federal Reserve rate cuts typically impact the cryptocurrency market? A: Generally, Federal Reserve rate cuts can stimulate economic activity and increase liquidity, which can lead to a more favorable environment for risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper and encourage investment in higher-yield assets, potentially driving up demand for crypto. Q: What is the significance of the U.S. jobs data for potential Fed rate cuts? A: Weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data suggests a cooling labor market, which can signal to the Federal Reserve that the economy might be slowing down. This could prompt the Fed to consider lowering interest rates to stimulate growth, thus boosting crypto sentiment. Q: How does the U.S. dollar's performance correlate with cryptocurrency prices, especially during Fed policy shifts? A: The U.S. dollar and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin often have an inverse relationship. When the dollar weakens (due to factors like expected rate cuts), investors may move towards alternative assets like Bitcoin, driving up its price. Conversely, a strengthening dollar can sometimes see investors move away from riskier assets.

    Bitcoin and Ethereum Performance

    Q: What factors are influencing Bitcoin's current price and its performance relative to its all-time high? A: Bitcoin's price is influenced by a multitude of factors including macroeconomic conditions, investor sentiment, regulatory developments, and the performance of Bitcoin-based spot ETFs. While it has seen recent gains, it remains below its all-time high due to these various market dynamics. Q: What are the key trends observed in Ethereum's price and its market share compared to Bitcoin? A: Ethereum has shown recent strength, with its market share increasing. However, like Bitcoin, it also experiences weekly declines, reflecting the overall volatility in the crypto market. Factors such as ETF performance and broader market sentiment continue to influence its price. Q: What do the recent outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs indicate about institutional investor sentiment? A: Outflows from spot ETFs, particularly significant ones like the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund, can suggest a temporary pullback or caution among some institutional investors. However, these outflows can also be part of normal market fluctuations and do not necessarily indicate a long-term negative sentiment.

    Crypto Market AI's Take

    The current market sentiment, buoyed by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, presents an interesting dynamic for cryptocurrencies. This macroeconomic shift, coupled with potential strategic Bitcoin reserves, creates a fertile ground for potential growth. Our AI-driven analysis indicates that while short-term volatility is inherent in the crypto space, a more accommodative monetary policy could translate into sustained positive momentum for digital assets. Understanding these broader economic indicators is crucial for navigating the market effectively. For those looking to leverage AI for trading insights, our platform offers tools that analyze market sentiment and predict potential price movements.

    More to Read:

  • What Drives the Prices of Cryptocurrency
  • How to Read Cryptocurrency Graphs: A Beginner to Advanced Guide
  • AI-Powered Crypto Trading Tools Reshape Market Strategies

For more cryptocurrency news, visit RTTNews Cryptocurrency Section. For comments and feedback, contact: editorial@rttnews.com
Source: Fed Rate Cut Hopes Boost Crypto Sentiment - RTTNews